About this Presentation

Peter Cronin and Billy Soulis introduce the Druid as a practical tool for capturing and mapping recurring problems before attempting to solve them. The workshop focuses on situations where people alternate between two seemingly reasonable approaches, yet neither approach resolves the underlying problem because each side eventually creates consequences that push the system back toward the other. A Druid loop is built from the bottom up. Each side begins with a behavior or approach, followed by what goes wrong as a result, how the problem gets worse, and the goal violation that becomes serious enough to force a switch to the opposite behavior. The key test is whether each goal violation logically drives the opposite behavior, creating a self-reinforcing loop. Cause-and-effect statements are checked using simple “if…then…” logic. The presenters advise participants to start with what they know, avoid trying to perfect the wording on the first pass, and revise the map as the logic becomes clearer. The deck demonstrates the method with several examples. A work-notification loop contrasts notifications only during work hours with notifications left on 24/7, exposing the trade-off between delayed urgent communication and poor work-life balance. A Sales-versus-Operations example shows how promising fast, tailored delivery can overload operations and damage delivery trust, while enforcing standard lead times can reduce overload but cause lost sales and declining revenue. Participants then practice building Druids around quality versus speed and developing staff versus maintaining immediate output, before mapping a recurring conflict from their own context. The objective is not to solve the problem during this first workshop, but to leave with a clear, logic-tested picture of the recurring cycle, the consequences of each behavior, and a strong foundation for the next step: surfacing assumptions and designing an intervention that breaks the loop.

What Will You Learn

To help you get the most value from this session, we’ve highlighted a few key points. These takeaways capture the main ideas and practical insights from the presentation, making it easier for you to review, reflect, and apply what you’ve learned.

Plane
What a Druid loop is and how it captures a recurring problem as two alternating behaviors whose consequences eventually trigger a switch to the opposite approach.
How to build a Druid from behavior to what goes wrong, what gets worse, and the final goal violation, using simple if/then cause-and-effect logic to test every connection.
Why recurring conflicts such as quality versus speed, Sales versus Operations, or staff development versus immediate output often persist when each attempted fix creates the conditions for the opposite response.
A practical construction method: start with the behaviors you know, do not aim for perfect wording immediately, verify that each goal violation drives the opposite behavior, and refine the loop until the logic is clear enough to support solution design.

Instructor(s)

Peter Cronin

Peter is the head instructor of the Black Belt in Thinking (Thinking Process training course). Even after a decade of teaching others how to use these critical thinking tools, he is still endlessly fascinated by the innovative ways people think and learn. Whether they are leaders, business owners, entrepreneurs, or individuals, Peter’s passion is seeing and helping people create real solutions to what they thought were ‘unbreakable’ problems.

Billy Soulis

Billy Soulis - Instructor, Black Belt in Thinking

Ian Heptinstall

Ian is an Associate Professor of Project Management at the University of Birmingham (UK). He is a late-career academic, joining the University after 35 years of working in project management, procurement and management consulting. His project & procurement experience primarily in the capex, construction & engineering fields. He has been a regular TOCICO Conference attendee since 2011, and in 2020 he helped set up the annual Critical Chain virtual conference, to share CC real world experience with project management practitioners who have little or no knowledge of TOC or critical chain. In 2016 he published “The Executive Guide to Breakthrough Project Management” about overcoming obstacles to using critical chain on capital/construction projects, in collaboration with Robert Bolton, and he supported Rene Nibbelke in producing the APM’s “Senior Managers’ and Project Managers’ Guide to Critical Chain” (2024

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